Rewards issued as non-withdrawable free bets or site credit. All promotions are subject to qualification and eligibility requirements. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IN, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, PA, PR, TN, VA, WV, or WY. Must be 21+ years of age or older to wager. In a betting market where the public is typically drawn to favorites, beware a beloved underdog that attracts majority action. It’s a terrible idea and perfectly illustrates why I fade public dogs so often. This is the worst Virginia Tech team of the 21st century, yet more than 60% of bettors market-wide are lining up to take the points with the Hokies. It’s also the lowest rank for any ACC team. That ranks Tech behind Northern Illinois, Sacramento State and Weber State. Jeff Sagarin’s computer rankings slot Virginia Tech at No. The Hokies lost to Old Dominion, got beat down on their home field by my mediocre Mountaineers and could only muster 10 points against North Carolina’s putrid defense. Pitt drops a weird game to a bad team every year – here in the mid-Atlantic region, we simply call this “Narduzzing” – but Virginia Tech is legitimately awful. The problem with that logic is that these two teams are nowhere near each other. “Hey, both of these teams are bad! Give me the two touchdowns and the hook.” That sort of thing. Both teams lost last week, which has primed the betting public to prefer the points in this spot. Pitt has opened as a 14.5-point dog against putrid Virginia Tech. However, this game has such an obvious side that I can’t avoid it this year. I’ll bet it now at the +2.5 and come back for more if I can.Īs a West Virginia fan, I generally avoid betting this game because I loathe both of them so deeply. I like Georgia Southern to win this game outright, so the fact that this number might get to three is outstanding. The problem is that, on principle, no one should be laying points with Georgia State in a conference game. And public bettors – who can easily fall for number traps – are eating up Georgia State at -2.5, which seems like a valuable number. Off the heels of a decent win, Georgia State is back home for another conference game and is suddenly laying points. That means the Panthers got a couple extra days of prep time ahead of Army’s offense this past weekend, which is a critical advantage if you have to play Army in the middle of the season. Here’s what happened: Georgia State played two weeks ago on Thursday night against Coastal Carolina. Georgia State was the only winless team in the Sun Belt last week this week, they’re laying points in a quasi-rivalry game. To paraphrase Dinah Washington: What a difference a week makes. I believe they’re on the right side but for the wrong reason. Public bettors are likely infatuated with the Bulldogs because they convincingly dispatched Texas A&M last week. The Razorbacks rank 124th in FBS in passing yards allowed, and Mississippi State ranks seventh in passing offense. That’s the case in this matchup as Will Rogers and the Mike Leach offense take aim at a weak Arkansas secondary. My days of handicapping the tactics of a particular football game are mostly behind me at this point, but I will still come in on a side every now and then if I feel like there’s a big advantage. It’s 11-4-1 over the last three weeks! Arkansas at Mississippi State (-8) Last week, the picks were 3-1-1, with a push on that Ohio State/Rutgers under. If you prefer an audio version of this weekly article, you can always subscribe to The Lion’s Edge, my weekly handicapping podcast for BetMGM. I’ll provide a short explanation of why I like each bet, so you don’t have to go on faith alone. College Football Best Bets: Week 6 PredictionsĪfter I’ve handicapped the whole board each week, I will publish my five best plays from the wider canon of college football odds. Īccordingly, I’ve got a fresh set of picks to hand out. Week 6 of the college football calendar has arrived, and with it comes a new table of NCAAF odds.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |